It will be bigger in base64.
Base64 uses 6 bits per byte to encode data, whereas binary uses 8 bits per byte. Also, there is a little padding overhead with Base64. Not all bits are used with Base64 because it was developed in the first place to encode binary data on systems that can only correctly process non-binary data.
That means that the encoded image will be around 33%-36% larger (33% from not using 2 of the bits per byte, plus possible padding accounting for the remaining 3%).